Monday, October 15, 2007

McCain takes one for the team?

McCain has been trashing Romney recently for his Johnny-come-lately conservatism. Is he setting himself up to be the Veep candidate?

I'm not a believer in McCain, both in the sense that I want somebody else to be our candidate, and in that I don't think he is capable of winning the nomination. It's a political truism that going "hard negative" often causes a certain amount of popular backlash. But people go negative because it actually works at lowering perceptions of the targeted candidate. If it didn't work it wouldn't be done.

Assuming that McCain can't win the nomination, who benefits from Romney's decline? Giuliani and Thompson. Particularly Thompson though, as Thompson has launched an eerily similar (coordinated?) positive push of his own unwavering conservatism.

The fly in the ointment of my theory is that McCain has a god complex and probably wouldn't jump on any grenades in order to have a shot at the least important Constitutional office. But that's sure what it looks like to me.

No comments: